Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 18, 2021 9:41:59 GMT
expert witness? a man in the know?  who would you call to testify? some hot take blogger from the End Times Review? yeah yeah yeah .. I think you get the picture by now.  Every incident has a set of facts, and any eyewitnesses to the event can report what they saw, heard, smelt, felt. Then experts from the assorted fields can offer technical explanations and also explain context. Then the prosecutor weaves it all together and tells the tale of what happened.. leaving it in the hands of the jury to decide if guilt was proven beyond a reasonable doubt. And as it turned out "Lock him up!" has become a very prescient chant. |
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muttley
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Post by muttley on Mar 19, 2021 1:51:42 GMT
Sure it does .. more or less, anyways. Except it doesn't have anything to do with 'other people'"the tendency to interpret new evidence as confirmation of one's existing beliefs or theories" . For us, in these political dialogs, it's all about nth-hand information. Ie: it's all about what "other people" tell us. |
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muttley
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Post by muttley on Mar 19, 2021 1:52:55 GMT
 .. so, did you meet Wray on an Amtrak one Tuesday have a few drinks together and now yer' bff??  Ha! I've never even been on an Amtrak train so don't you feel foolish now.  Hired by Trump.. fired by Biden.. if the Universe was just.. is how it should be going.  |
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muttley
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Post by muttley on Mar 19, 2021 1:54:03 GMT
yeah yeah yeah .. I think you get the picture by now. Every incident has a set of facts, and any eyewitnesses to the event can report what they saw, heard, smelt, felt. Then experts from the assorted fields can offer technical explanations and also explain context. Then the prosecutor weaves it all together and tells the tale of what happened.. leaving it in the hands of the jury to decide if guilt was proven beyond a reasonable doubt. And as it turned out "Lock him up!" has become a very prescient chant. In yer dreams. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 19, 2021 10:55:29 GMT
Except it doesn't have anything to do with 'other people'"the tendency to interpret new evidence as confirmation of one's existing beliefs or theories" . For us, in these political dialogs, it's all about nth-hand information. Ie: it's all about what "other people" tell us.No, that's not it. This is: "Confirmation bias is the tendency of people to favor information that confirms their existing beliefs or hypotheses. Confirmation bias happens when a person gives more weight to evidence that confirms their beliefs and undervalues evidence that could disprove it. People display this bias when they gather or recall information selectively, or when they interpret it in a biased way. The effect is stronger for emotionally charged issues and for deeply entrenched beliefs." |
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muttley
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Post by muttley on Mar 20, 2021 1:24:19 GMT
Only for scientists studying the natural world. For us, in these political dialogs, it's all about nth-hand information. Ie: it's all about what "other people" tell us. No, that's not it. This is: "Confirmation bias is the tendency of people to favor information that confirms their existing beliefs or hypotheses. Confirmation bias happens when a person gives more weight to evidence that confirms their beliefs and undervalues evidence that could disprove it. People display this bias when they gather or recall information selectively, or when they interpret it in a biased way. The effect is stronger for emotionally charged issues and for deeply entrenched beliefs." TMT, too many words. " Other people agreeing with your opinions" translates directly into this definition, but this definition still sucks: "Confirmation bias" is easily defined and demonstrated for a science like physics or chemistry, but this definition is focused on the psychology, which can never be clearly objective.
When you or I read what we write about in these political threads, we're not "gathering information" or "weighing evidence". Rather, we're sifting through rumor and consuming nth-hand stories, occasionally sprinkled with objective fact.
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.. so, did you meet Wray on an Amtrak one Tuesday have a few drinks together and now yer' bff?? 